National : President: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight
2 days ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 Nov. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.0% Trump 46.8% Nov. 5, 2024 leader Nov. 5, 2024 leader Harris Harris +1.2. KEY.
How Popular Is Joe Biden? | FiveThirtyEight
5 days ago · Latest polls on President Joe Biden’s approval ratings
Kamala Harris : Approval Polls | FiveThirtyEight
2 days ago · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
Nov 5, 2024 · The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 8 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 1 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 41 out of 100. Trump wins the Electoral College with <350 ...
FiveThirtyEight Interactives | FiveThirtyEight
Feb 2, 2023 · The Latest Updates On The 2024 Republican Presidential Primary. Ryan Best, Cooper Burton, Aaron Bycoffe, Chris Groskopf, Alex Kimball, Humera Lodhi, Mary Radcliffe and Maya Sweedler. Aug 24, 2023.
President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
2 days ago · State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.
U.S. House Polls | FiveThirtyEight
2 days ago · Cycle. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.
Pollster Ratings - FiveThirtyEight
Sep 12, 2024 · FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodology of each firm’s polls.
Donald Trump : Favorability Polls - FiveThirtyEight
3 days ago · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?
National : President: general election Polls - FiveThirtyEight
Jan 10, 2023 · Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.